Tuesday 15 April 2008

Statistics in football are plainly dumb

There used to be a time in German football coverage when there were only three television stations in the country. Back in those days the sports program "Die Sportschau" used to show small clips of three games, all the other matches were just shown as results at the end of the program. Then in the 1980s private television was introduced and the broadcasting rights went from ARD (public television) to RTL (private). The coverage became more flashy and they even introduced live matches. I especially remember the matchup between 1.FC Cologne and Bayern Munich in 1989, I think. But since there were other private stations who offered even more money the rights went to SAT1 at the beginning of the 1990s and that's when the nightmare began. They introduced the so called "ran Datenbank" (ran database), a statistical monster which spat out useless numbers and events at every match that was shown. They counted the minutes a striker went without scoring, they recorded the longest streak for a goalkeeper without conceding a goal, etc. You get the picture. While those are to a certain extent reasonable there is one statistic which makes absolutely no sense. The commentators always talk about how long it has been that one team won against another one. The point is with the system of promotion and relegation there might be seasons when both teams never played against each other. So a streak of let's say 30 years might sound like a long time but when the one team has been in division one the whole time and the other one was relegated to e.g. divison 3 in the meantime, where's the point in bringing up a statistic?! So when a commentator was talking about that a match between Hamburger SV and Hertha BSC Berlin hasn't ended 0-0 in almost 30 years he was completely neglecting the fact that Hertha was playing in the 2nd division for quite a long time of those 30 years while HSV was never relegated even once.
I see the point for statistics in rather static sports like baseball or basketball or american football, where it makes sense to measure players by using numbers. It just won't work in football. A striker might not score for hundreds of minutes but if he scores that one vital goal at the end of the season he's the man. A goalkeeper might have a streak of playing 10 games without conceding a goal but how many shots did he have to save? When is a save a save? When can a shot be considered to be on goal? To me football is such a beautiful sport because it doesn't need something like statistics. The problem is that with things like the "ran Datenbank" people in the audience think that it's the complete opposite, that football needs statistics. And because of that we won't get rid off them in the near future.

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